Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000158 0.000174 0.000192 0.000213 0.000236 0.000261 0.000291
2025-09-07 0.000127 0.000151 0.000179 0.000214 0.000257 0.000308 0.000373
2025-09-14 0.000109 0.000138 0.000172 0.000218 0.000279 0.000355 0.000461
2025-09-21 0.000094 0.000124 0.000161 0.000214 0.000287 0.000385 0.000528
2025-09-28 0.000081 0.000110 0.000149 0.000206 0.000288 0.000402 0.000579
2025-10-05 0.000075 0.000105 0.000146 0.000209 0.000303 0.000441 0.000664
2025-10-12 0.000070 0.000101 0.000145 0.000214 0.000322 0.000486 0.000764
2025-10-19 0.000064 0.000094 0.000139 0.000211 0.000327 0.000511 0.000834
2025-10-26 0.000060 0.000090 0.000137 0.000213 0.000341 0.000551 0.000935
2025-11-02 0.000055 0.000085 0.000132 0.000211 0.000347 0.000577 0.001014
2025-11-09 0.000052 0.000081 0.000129 0.000211 0.000356 0.000610 0.001109
2025-11-16 0.000048 0.000077 0.000124 0.000209 0.000361 0.000636 0.001193
2025-11-23 0.000044 0.000071 0.000117 0.000202 0.000358 0.000647 0.001254
2025-11-30 0.000041 0.000069 0.000115 0.000202 0.000368 0.000686 0.001378
2025-12-07 0.000039 0.000067 0.000114 0.000206 0.000386 0.000741 0.001544
2025-12-14 0.000037 0.000063 0.000110 0.000202 0.000388 0.000765 0.001645
2025-12-21 0.000033 0.000059 0.000104 0.000195 0.000381 0.000770 0.001704
2025-12-28 0.000032 0.000057 0.000103 0.000197 0.000396 0.000821 0.001881
2026-01-04 0.000031 0.000056 0.000103 0.000202 0.000416 0.000887 0.002103
2026-01-11 0.000029 0.000054 0.000100 0.000199 0.000418 0.000914 0.002231
2026-01-18 0.000028 0.000052 0.000099 0.000201 0.000433 0.000971 0.002448
2026-01-25 0.000027 0.000050 0.000097 0.000199 0.000437 0.001002 0.002602
2026-02-01 0.000025 0.000049 0.000095 0.000199 0.000446 0.001047 0.002801